THE ROLE OF PROBABILITY IN EVALUATING KNOWLEDGE & DETERMINING TRUTH.

All of life is lived on the basis of "probability", and nothing we do is an exception to this. Every time we cross the road or sit on a chair, we do so on the probability that we will safely get across the road, or that the chair will not collapse. When we go to work we assume that we will arrive home. Because the odds, or probability, is that we will make it. In truth, nothing is 100 percent certian or guaranteed in anything we do in life. Yet this is the accepted premise on which we function and live our lives every day.

This is also true of science. Every scientific law and principle is based on "probability" or "generalisation". The Law of Gravity is based on the "generalisation" or probability that when we throw an object up, it will comes down. No one has ever observed an exception to this law of gravity. However we would have to throw an object up an infinite number of times to assert that it will always come down. Thus, all scientific laws are founded on generalisations, or what is the most probable outcome.

Religious and secular beliefs are no exception. All belief functions on probability. No religion or belief can provide us with 100 per cent proof of its truth or certianty. Belief systems make claims and assertions that may, or may not, be sustainable. All claims can only be tested in the best possible way, using the best possible methods. The objective is to determine which alternative belief offers the highest probability of truth, based on the extent to which the various claims and assertions can be objectively verified. In short, the one with the best primary evidence presents the highest probability of truth, and our most certian hope.

Which belief or religious system represents the highest probability of truth. That is the main question. Providing the tools and insights needed to objectively evaluate alternative belief systems, secular and sacred, is the purpose of the site.